norventusForgeToolkits for your Work
PremiumSupply Chain · Wholesale Distribution

Fill rate and backorder cost

Line fill rate, the monthly cost of backorders and lost sales, and the saving at a target fill rate.

Get this tool with its role plan

This is a premium tool. It comes with its role's plan: sign in, then add the role in Billing.

Comes with the data scientist plan: every tool for the role, from $10.20 a month at the launch price.

  • Your own numbers, worked out as often as you like
  • The full service review sheet you can print or save to My work
  • 3 cited sources, linked, with the checks to make
  • Every other tool for the same role, in the same plan
  • A plain-words read of your result (a fuller AI read with the Bifrost AI add-on)

Included in these role plans

Data scientistOperations analystProduct managerSupply chain planner

Example result · fictional numbers

What you get: service review sheet

Worked out by this tool from its default inputs. Its role plan lets you run your own numbers, print the sheet and save it.

94.4% of lines and about 85.2% of orders ship complete; shorts cost $36,540.00 a month

Line fill rate
94.4%
Short lines
1,400
Monthly cost of shorts
$36,540 ($17,640 backorders, $18,900 lost margin)
Saving at 98.0% fill
$23,490 per month

Service scorecard

Line fill rate
94.4% (1,400 lines short of 25,000 lines)
Lines per order
2.8
Orders shipped complete (estimate)
85.2%
Perfect orders (complete, on time, clean)
81.4% (85.2% × 96.0% × 99.5%)
Orders hit by at least one short (estimate)
1,331 of 9,000

Also on the sheet

  • Short lines by cause · 4 lines, starting with “No stock in the building”
  • Business case for 98.0% fill · 5 lines, starting with “Short lines to remove”
  • Corrective action log · 3 lines, starting with “No stock in the building (Buyer-planner)”

The plain-words read of this example

You ship 94.4% of lines complete; with 2.8 lines an order, that is about 85.2% of orders complete and 81.4% perfect once on-time and damage-free are counted. The 1,400 lines short a month cost $36,540.00, $21,924.00 of it from items not in stock and $9,135.00 from wrong system counts. Reaching 98.0% saves $281,880.00 a year; less $11,000.00 to carry $50,000.00 of extra stock, that nets $270,880.00. Size the extra stock item by item from each item's demand spread, not across the board. Fix counts and picks first: they lift fill without more inventory.

3 cited sources

  • ESD.260J Logistics Systems, lecture 11: inventory management with probabilistic demand and safety stock (MIT OpenCourseWare)
  • H.15 Selected Interest Rates (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)
  • Monthly Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories (US Census Bureau)

Plus 5 step-by-step checks, a print layout and a link that reopens it with your numbers.

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